Hi ZS, assuming that whether or one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, nevertheless?) is independent from winning or losing on any other scratch ticket, you treat each event as an unbiased event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent events. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the possibility of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets when (if it is precisely what your problem is asking) end up being (2/3)^30 = approximately 0.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 coming from 10 million, which amounts to 1 chance out of 192,307.
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